Derby County v Wrexham
Saturday 15:00 · Pride Park Stadium
Chance of each result
36%
Derby County win
33%
Draw
32%
Wrexham win
Goals in the match
1.9 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Derby County
Chance creation. Derby County generate 1.0 goals' worth of chances per game; Wrexham concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.