Watford v Burnley
Saturday 15:00 · Vicarage Road
Chance of each result
40%
Watford win
30%
Draw
30%
Burnley win
Goals in the match
2.2 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (14%)Published
Thu 19:00Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Watford
Chance creation. Watford generate 0.9 goals' worth of chances per game; Burnley concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.