Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club
Saturday 13:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Chance of each result
28%
Rayo Vallecano win
24%
Draw
48%
Athletic Club win
Goals in the match
3.0 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Thu 19:00Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Athletic Club
Chance creation. Rayo Vallecano generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Athletic Club concede 1.1.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.