Sunderland v Leeds United
Sunday 16:30 · Stadium of Light
Chance of each result
28%
Sunderland win
28%
Draw
44%
Leeds United win
Goals in the match
2.4 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Thu 23:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Leeds United
Chance creation. Sunderland generate 1.0 goals' worth of chances per game; Leeds United concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.