Manchester United v Bournemouth
Sunday 14:00 · Old Trafford
Chance of each result
60%
Manchester United win
21%
Draw
19%
Bournemouth win
Goals in the match
3.2 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (10%)Published
Thu 23:00Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Manchester United
Chance creation. Manchester United generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Bournemouth concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.