Arsenal v Everton
Saturday 15:00 · Emirates Stadium
Chance of each result
63%
Arsenal win
21%
Draw
16%
Everton win
Goals in the match
3.0 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Arsenal
Chance creation. Arsenal generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Everton concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.