Nottingham Forest v Arsenal
Sunday 16:30 · City Ground
Chance of each result
25%
Nottingham Forest win
27%
Draw
48%
Arsenal win
Goals in the match
2.5 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Arsenal
Chance creation. Nottingham Forest generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Arsenal concede 0.7.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.