Everton v Chelsea
Saturday 12:30 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Chance of each result
47%
Everton win
26%
Draw
27%
Chelsea win
Goals in the match
2.7 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Everton
Chance creation. Everton generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Chelsea concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.