Genoa v Fiorentina
Saturday 14:00 · Luigi Ferraris
Chance of each result
37%
Genoa win
27%
Draw
37%
Fiorentina win
Goals in the match
2.7 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Fiorentina
Chance creation. Genoa generate 0.9 goals' worth of chances per game; Fiorentina concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.