Sunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion
Saturday 15:00 · Stadium of Light
Chance of each result
26%
Sunderland win
22%
Draw
52%
Brighton & Hove Albion win
Goals in the match
3.4 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (10%)Published
Thu 19:00Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance creation. Sunderland generate 2.0 goals' worth of chances per game; Brighton & Hove Albion concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.