Aston Villa v Brentford
Saturday 15:00 · Villa Park
Chance of each result
30%
Aston Villa win
26%
Draw
44%
Brentford win
Goals in the match
2.7 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Brentford
Chance creation. Aston Villa generate 0.9 goals' worth of chances per game; Brentford concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.