Chelsea v Bournemouth
Saturday 15:00 · Stamford Bridge
Chance of each result
51%
Chelsea win
25%
Draw
24%
Bournemouth win
Goals in the match
2.8 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Chelsea
Chance creation. Chelsea generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Bournemouth concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.