Arsenal v Leeds United
Saturday 12:30 · Emirates Stadium
Chance of each result
51%
Arsenal win
24%
Draw
25%
Leeds United win
Goals in the match
2.9 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Arsenal
Chance creation. Arsenal generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Leeds United concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.