Liverpool FC v Manchester City
Sunday 16:30 · Anfield
Chance of each result
36%
Liverpool FC win
26%
Draw
39%
Manchester City win
Goals in the match
2.8 likelySubscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Manchester City
Chance creation. Liverpool FC generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Manchester City concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.