Football fixtures
Paul Nebel
MID1. FSV Mainz 05
Model projection
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 BST · Bundesliga
Goal
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no projection
Assist
—
no projection
Carded
—
no projection
Probabilities from the squad-based Poisson model. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability, no margin applied.
Season profile
BundesligaAttacking
Goals
0.22/905 total
Assists
0.09/902 total
Shots/game
1.07
Shots on target/game
0.27
Key passes/game
1.37
Discipline
Yellow cards
0.09/902 total
Red cards
2
Fouls committed/game
0.97
Fouls drawn/game
0.67
Availability
Appearances
24 starts30
Minutes/game
69
Start rate
80%