Álvaro Carreras

DEF

Real Madrid

Model projection

Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 BST · La Liga

Goal

—

no projection

Assist

—

no projection

Carded

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no projection

Probabilities from the squad-based Poisson model. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability, no margin applied.

Season profile

Champions League

Rate figures based on 4 appearances — small sample.

Attacking

Goals

0.43/901 total

Assists

0.00/900 total

Shots/game

0.25

Shots on target/game

0.25

Key passes/game

1.25

Discipline

Yellow cards

0.43/901 total

Fouls committed/game

0.25

Fouls drawn/game

0.50

Availability

Appearances

3 starts4

Minutes/game

Start rate

75%