SSC Napoli v Lecce
Saturday 19:45
Chance of each result
59%
SSC Napoli win
24%
Draw
17%
Lecce win
Goals in the match
2.6 likelyMost likely score
1-0 (13%)Published
Sat 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans SSC Napoli
Chance creation. SSC Napoli generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; Lecce concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.