Middlesbrough v Swansea City
Tuesday 19:45
Chance of each result
54%
Middlesbrough win
25%
Draw
22%
Swansea City win
Goals in the match
2.7 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Thu 15:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Middlesbrough
Chance creation. Middlesbrough generate 1.6 goals' worth of chances per game; Swansea City concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.