Bristol City v Wrexham
Tuesday 19:45
Chance of each result
31%
Bristol City win
28%
Draw
41%
Wrexham win
Goals in the match
2.4 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Thu 15:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Wrexham
Chance creation. Bristol City generate 1.1 goals' worth of chances per game; Wrexham concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.