Red Bull Salzburg v AC Sparta Praha
Thursday 20:00
Chance of each result
45%
Red Bull Salzburg win
25%
Draw
30%
AC Sparta Praha win
Goals in the match
2.9 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Tue 23:03Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Red Bull Salzburg
Chance creation. Red Bull Salzburg generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; AC Sparta Praha concede 1.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.