FC Ararat-Armenia v NEC Nijmegen
Thursday 17:45
Chance of each result
51%
FC Ararat-Armenia win
23%
Draw
26%
NEC Nijmegen win
Goals in the match
3.2 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (10%)Published
Tue 23:01Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans FC Ararat-Armenia
Chance creation. FC Ararat-Armenia generate 2.0 goals' worth of chances per game; NEC Nijmegen concede 1.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.