Jagiellonia Białystok v Crystal Palace
Thursday 17:45
Chance of each result
57%
Jagiellonia Białystok win
22%
Draw
21%
Crystal Palace win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (10%)Published
Tue 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Jagiellonia Białystok
Chance creation. Jagiellonia Białystok generate 2.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Crystal Palace concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.