AC Milan v Parma
Sunday 19:45
Chance of each result
69%
AC Milan win
19%
Draw
12%
Parma win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
2-0 (12%)Published
Tue 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans AC Milan
Chance creation. AC Milan generate 1.6 goals' worth of chances per game; Parma concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.