Olympique de Marseille v Celta Vigo
Thursday 17:45
Chance of each result
51%
Olympique de Marseille win
23%
Draw
26%
Celta Vigo win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Tue 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Olympique de Marseille
Chance creation. Olympique de Marseille generate 1.8 goals' worth of chances per game; Celta Vigo concede 1.3.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.