Cagliari v AC Milan
Saturday 13:00
Chance of each result
30%
Cagliari win
29%
Draw
42%
AC Milan win
Goals in the match
2.3 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Mon 07:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans AC Milan
Chance creation. Cagliari generate 1.0 goals' worth of chances per game; AC Milan concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.