TSG Hoffenheim v SK Sturm Graz
Thursday 20:00
Chance of each result
47%
TSG Hoffenheim win
26%
Draw
27%
SK Sturm Graz win
Goals in the match
2.6 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Sun 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans TSG Hoffenheim
Chance creation. TSG Hoffenheim generate 1.6 goals' worth of chances per game; SK Sturm Graz concede 1.8.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.