AC Sparta Praha v AZ Alkmaar

Fixtures/Europa League/AC Sparta Praha v AZ Alkmaar

Thursday 20:00

Medium confidence

Chance of each result

49%

AC Sparta Praha win

20%

Draw

31%

AZ Alkmaar win

Goals in the match

4.1 likely

Most likely score

2-1 (8%)

Published

Sat 15:04

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Why it leans AC Sparta Praha

Chance creation. AC Sparta Praha generate 1.8 goals' worth of chances per game; AZ Alkmaar concede 2.3.

Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.

Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.

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