PSV Eindhoven v Atlético Madrid
Wednesday 20:00
Chance of each result
35%
PSV Eindhoven win
26%
Draw
39%
Atlético Madrid win
Goals in the match
2.8 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Sat 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Atlético Madrid
Chance creation. PSV Eindhoven generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Atlético Madrid concede 1.1.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.