Sunderland v Jagiellonia Białystok
Thursday 20:00
Chance of each result
22%
Sunderland win
24%
Draw
54%
Jagiellonia Białystok win
Goals in the match
2.8 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Sat 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Jagiellonia Białystok
Chance creation. Sunderland generate 1.0 goals' worth of chances per game; Jagiellonia Białystok concede 0.7.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.