Crystal Palace v Real Sociedad
Thursday 20:00
Chance of each result
44%
Crystal Palace win
24%
Draw
32%
Real Sociedad win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Sat 07:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Crystal Palace
Chance creation. Crystal Palace generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Real Sociedad concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.