Toulouse v Stade Rennais
Sunday 16:15
Chance of each result
30%
Toulouse win
28%
Draw
42%
Stade Rennais win
Goals in the match
2.5 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (13%)Published
Fri 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Stade Rennais
Chance creation. Toulouse generate 1.3 goals' worth of chances per game; Stade Rennais concede 1.6.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.