Royale Union Saint-Gilloise v Lech Poznań
Thursday 17:45
Chance of each result
11%
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise win
15%
Draw
74%
Lech Poznań win
Goals in the match
3.9 likelyMost likely score
1-2 (9%)Published
Fri 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Lech Poznań
Chance creation. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise generate 1.6 goals' worth of chances per game; Lech Poznań concede 0.0.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.