Le Mans v Lille
Saturday 19:45
Chance of each result
34%
Le Mans win
24%
Draw
42%
Lille win
Goals in the match
3.1 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Thu 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Lille
Chance creation. Le Mans generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Lille concede 1.1.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.