Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient
Saturday 19:45
Chance of each result
67%
Paris Saint-Germain win
19%
Draw
14%
Lorient win
Goals in the match
3.2 likelyMost likely score
2-0 (11%)Published
Thu 15:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Paris Saint-Germain
Chance creation. Paris Saint-Germain generate 2.1 goals' worth of chances per game; Lorient concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.