Arsenal v Borussia Dortmund
Tuesday 20:00
Chance of each result
42%
Arsenal win
25%
Draw
32%
Borussia Dortmund win
Goals in the match
2.9 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Thu 07:04Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Arsenal
Chance creation. Arsenal generate 1.7 goals' worth of chances per game; Borussia Dortmund concede 1.2.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.