1. FC Union Berlin v Hamburger SV

Fixtures/Bundesliga/1. FC Union Berlin v Hamburger SV

Saturday 10:00

Low confidence

Chance of each result

45%

1. FC Union Berlin win

25%

Draw

30%

Hamburger SV win

Goals in the match

2.8 likely

Most likely score

1-1 (12%)

Published

Mon 22:11

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Why it leans 1. FC Union Berlin

Chance creation. 1. FC Union Berlin generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; Hamburger SV concede 1.8.

Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.

Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.

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