SC Freiburg v TSG Hoffenheim
Saturday 10:00
Chance of each result
37%
SC Freiburg win
24%
Draw
39%
TSG Hoffenheim win
Goals in the match
3.3 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (10%)Published
Mon 22:11Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans TSG Hoffenheim
Chance creation. SC Freiburg generate 1.4 goals' worth of chances per game; TSG Hoffenheim concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.