RB Leipzig v 1. FSV Mainz 05
Saturday 10:00
Chance of each result
59%
RB Leipzig win
18%
Draw
23%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Goals in the match
4.4 likelyMost likely score
2-1 (8%)Published
Mon 22:11Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans RB Leipzig
Chance creation. RB Leipzig generate 2.0 goals' worth of chances per game; 1. FSV Mainz 05 concede 1.7.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.