Fixtures/Bundesliga/Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Borussia M'gladbach

Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Borussia M'gladbach

Saturday 10:00
Medium confidence
Chance of each result
59%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
21%
Draw
21%
Borussia M'gladbach win
Goals in the match
3.4 likely
Most likely score
2-1 (10%)
Published
Mon 22:11
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Why it leans Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Chance creation. Bayer 04 Leverkusen generate 1.9 goals' worth of chances per game; Borussia M'gladbach concede 1.5.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.