Borussia Dortmund v Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sunday 18:30
Chance of each result
47%
Borussia Dortmund win
24%
Draw
29%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Goals in the match
3.0 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Mon 22:11Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Borussia Dortmund
Chance creation. Borussia Dortmund generate 1.9 goals' worth of chances per game; Bayer 04 Leverkusen concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.