Chelsea v Crystal Palace
Wednesday 20:00
Chance of each result
50%
Chelsea win
23%
Draw
27%
Crystal Palace win
Goals in the match
3.2 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (11%)Published
Mon 22:02Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Chelsea
Chance creation. Chelsea generate 1.8 goals' worth of chances per game; Crystal Palace concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.