Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United
Sunday 14:05
Chance of each result
52%
Brighton & Hove Albion win
24%
Draw
23%
Newcastle United win
Goals in the match
2.8 likelyMost likely score
1-1 (12%)Published
Mon 22:02Subscribers
The clearest call on this match
Result percentages stay free. Subscribers see the market the model is most sure about, every market it prices, and player props — scorers, shots on target, cards and assists.
Unlock for £9 / monthWhy it leans Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance creation. Brighton & Hove Albion generate 1.5 goals' worth of chances per game; Newcastle United concede 1.4.
Recency. The most recent matches carry most of the weight, so early-season results barely register.
Home advantage. Measured per team from its own home and away record, not assumed from a league-wide constant.